Course 05 · Lesson 05

Stochastic Oscillator

~8 min readLesson 05/9
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Developed by Dr. George Lane in the late 1950s, the Stochastic Oscillator is based on a fundamental observation: during an uptrend, closing prices tend to accumulate near the high of the recent price range. Conversely, in a downtrend, closes accumulate near the low. As momentum slows, closing prices begin to drift away from the extremes before a price reversal actually occurs.

What Is the Stochastic Oscillator?

Stochastics does not follow price or volume directly; it follows the speed and momentum of price closes relative to a defined high-low range over N periods. It oscillates bound between 0 and 100.

Calculating %K and %D

STOCHASTIC FORMULA

%K = [(Current Close − Lowest Low in N periods) ÷ (Highest High in N periods − Lowest Low in N periods)] × 100 %D = 3-period Simple Moving Average of %K Standard Settings (Fast): 5, 3, 3 Standard Settings (Slow/Smooth): 14, 3, 3 (Recommended for Forex)

Trading Stochastic Crossovers

The highest-probability crossover signal occurs when %K crosses %D inside the extreme zones. When %K falls below 20 (oversold) and then crosses above %D while both lines are turning up, it provides a strong bullish entry trigger. Conversely, a bearish crossover above 80 provides a short trigger.

Key Takeaways
Stochastics tracks where closing prices land relative to the recent high-low trading range.
Values above 80 indicate overbought conditions; values below 20 indicate oversold conditions.
The %K crossing %D within extreme zones provides a precise entry timing catalyst.
Always filter stochastic signals in the direction of the higher-timeframe trend.
KEY TERMS
%K Line
The fast stochastic line comparing the latest closing price to the high-low range over a specified period (typically 5, 8, or 14).
%D Line
The slow signal line - a 3-period simple moving average of the %K line.
Overbought (80)
When the indicator moves above 80, indicating price is closing near the top of its recent range.
Oversold (20)
When the indicator moves below 20, indicating price is closing near the bottom of its recent range.

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